Diplomasi, insanl\u0131k tarihi kadar eski, ince ve a\u011f\u0131r i\u015fleyen bir sanatt\u0131r. T\u0131pk\u0131 bir satran\u00e7 gibi… Ta\u015flar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek oynars\u0131n\u0131z, rakibinizin on hamle sonras\u0131n\u0131 hesaplars\u0131n\u0131z, kaybetmeyi de kazanmay\u0131 da bir devlet gelene\u011fi olarak sindirirsiniz.<\/p>\n
Ancak Amerika’n\u0131n \u0130ran kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 etraf\u0131nda d\u00f6nd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc oyun, diplomasiden \u00e7ok Las Vegas\u2019\u0131n g\u00f6z al\u0131c\u0131 ama ac\u0131mas\u0131z kumar masalar\u0131n\u0131 and\u0131r\u0131yor. G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, masadaki taraflardan biri binlerce y\u0131ll\u0131k devlet akl\u0131n\u0131n miras\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u0130ran; di\u011feri ise tarih sahnesine daha d\u00fcn \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f, her \u015feyini bildi\u011fini sanan s\u00f6zde yeni Roma: Amerika.<\/p>\n
Peki, \u0130ran ile Amerika aras\u0131nda bir anla\u015fma m\u00fcmk\u00fcn m\u00fc?<\/p>\n
Elbette m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Hi\u00e7bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ebedi de\u011fildir. Ancak mevcut tabloya bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, bu ihtimalin her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn biraz daha soldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bunun temel nedeni ise Washington\u2019un diplomasi masas\u0131n\u0131 terk edip, kumarbaz kurnazl\u0131\u011f\u0131na s\u0131\u011f\u0131nmas\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bir an d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnelim: Amerika, \u0130ran kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda adeta t\u00fcm \u00e7ipini ortaya s\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015f bir kumarbaz gibi. “Maksimum bask\u0131” politikas\u0131, yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar, gemileri b\u00f6lgeye y\u0131\u011fmak… T\u00fcm bunlar bir stratejiden \u00e7ok, “Ya \u015fimdi ya hi\u00e7” diyen bir bl\u00f6f\u00fcn par\u00e7as\u0131. Oysa \u0130ran, y\u00fczy\u0131llar boyunca Pers \u0130mparatorlu\u011fu’ndan Sasani’ye, Safeviler’den Ka\u00e7arlar’a, Pehlevi’den nihayet \u0130slam Devrimi’ne uzanan devlet gelene\u011fiyle, zaman\u0131n bu tela\u015fl\u0131 oyuncular\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 nas\u0131l duraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok iyi biliyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran i\u00e7in diplomasi, bir poker masas\u0131nda anl\u0131k kazan\u00e7lar elde etme arac\u0131 de\u011fil; nesiller boyu s\u00fcren bir sab\u0131r ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131r. Tahran, yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar alt\u0131nda ezilirken bile “direni\u015f ekonomisi”nden s\u00f6z ediyor. O, masada elini kapatmay\u0131 bilen, kumarbazlar\u0131n ate\u015fli bak\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ald\u0131rmayan kadim oyuncu.<\/p>\n
Peki ya Amerika? Onun bu masadaki hali, t\u0131pk\u0131 her \u015feyini kaybetmi\u015f bir bl\u00f6f\u00e7\u00fc gibi. Anl\u0131k \u00f6fke patlamalar\u0131, tweet diplomasisi, bir g\u00fcn “m\u00fczakereye haz\u0131r\u0131z” deyip ertesi g\u00fcn “rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi” sinyali vermek… Bu karars\u0131zl\u0131k, binlerce y\u0131ll\u0131k devlet gelene\u011finin \u00f6n\u00fcnde bir hi\u00e7tir. Ne yaz\u0131k ki bug\u00fcn Beyaz Saray’da oturan ekip, diplomasinin bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 oldu\u011funu unutmu\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz \u00e7\u0131kmaz\u0131 i\u015fte tam olarak burada d\u00fc\u011f\u00fcmleniyor: Bir tarafta zaman\u0131 rakibi olarak g\u00f6rmeyen bir medeniyet; di\u011fer tarafta bir sonraki se\u00e7imi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen ve her hamlesini anl\u0131k be\u011feniye endekslemi\u015f bir y\u00f6netim anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131.<\/p>\n
Sonu\u00e7: Anla\u015fma m\u0131? Belki, ama ancak Amerika “poker masas\u0131”ndaki koltuktan inip ger\u00e7ek diplomasi masas\u0131na oturdu\u011funda. Bunun i\u00e7in \u00f6nce kaybetti\u011fini kabul etmesi, sonra da tarihten \u00f6\u011frenece\u011fi \u00e7ok \u015fey oldu\u011funu anlamas\u0131 gerekiyor. Ta ki Las Vegas’ta her \u015feyini kaybeden o bl\u00f6f\u00e7\u00fc gibi savrulmaktan vazge\u00e7ip, binlerce y\u0131ll\u0131k bir gelene\u011fin kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda sayg\u0131l\u0131 bir muhatap olmay\u0131 \u00f6\u011frenene dek.<\/p>\n
Zira H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’de kumar oynanmaz. Orada ya devlet akl\u0131 kazan\u0131r, ya da kaybeder.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Amerika\u2019n\u0131n Bl\u00f6f\u00fc, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Sabr\u0131<\/p>","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":285296,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[286],"tags":[289],"class_list":{"0":"post-285294","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-yazarlar","8":"tag-manset"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/285294","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/53"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=285294"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/285294\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":285297,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/285294\/revisions\/285297"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/285296"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=285294"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=285294"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=285294"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}