{"id":284718,"date":"2026-04-05T08:44:06","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T08:44:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/?p=284718"},"modified":"2026-04-05T08:44:06","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T08:44:06","slug":"chps-strategy-dilemma-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/chps-strategy-dilemma-2\/","title":{"rendered":"CHP's Strategy Dilemma -2"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Cumhuriyet Halk Partili belediye ba\u015fkanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik usul y\u00f6n\u00fcnden tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 uygulamalar\u0131n art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi ink\u00e2r edilemez. Ancak bu durum, hakk\u0131nda iddia bulunan ya da su\u00e7 i\u015fledi\u011fi \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fclen isimlere otomatik bir masuniyet de sa\u011flamaz. Bu iki ger\u00e7e\u011fi ayn\u0131 anda kabul edebilmek, sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir siyasi analiz i\u00e7in \u015fartt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Daha \u00f6nce kaleme ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u201cCHP\u2019nin Strateji A\u00e7maz\u0131\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 yaz\u0131da, \u00f6zel olaylardan ziyade partinin zamanlama ve zemin a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hatal\u0131 stratejik hamlelerine dikkat \u00e7ekmi\u015ftik. Aradan ge\u00e7en s\u00fcrede ne yaz\u0131k ki bu hatalar\u0131n istisna de\u011fil, bir y\u00f6ntem h\u00e2line geldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Yerel se\u00e7im zaferi sonras\u0131 elde edilen psikolojik \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck, siyaset sahnesinde nadir yakalanan f\u0131rsatlardan biridir. Ancak CHP bu avantaj\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir erken se\u00e7im \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmekte isteksiz davrand\u0131. Oysa birinci parti olman\u0131n getirdi\u011fi moral \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck, ancak zaman\u0131nda ve kararl\u0131 hamlelerle anlam kazan\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Benzer \u015fekilde, ge\u00e7mi\u015fte s\u0131k\u00e7a kullan\u0131lan \u201cistifaya davet\u201d s\u00f6yleminin bu kez rakip akt\u00f6rler i\u00e7in i\u015fletilmemesi de dikkat \u00e7ekicidir. Siyaset, yaln\u0131zca do\u011fruyu savunmak de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda do\u011fru zamanlamayla bask\u0131 kurabilme sanat\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Daha da \u00f6nemlisi, hen\u00fcz se\u00e7im atmosferi olu\u015fmam\u0131\u015fken ve rakip cephede adayl\u0131k tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 netle\u015fmemi\u015fken, Say\u0131n Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun bu kadar erken \u015fekilde tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n merkezine yerle\u015ftirilmesi ciddi bir stratejik soru i\u015fareti do\u011furmu\u015ftur. Siyasette erken a\u00e7\u0131lan kartlar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu zaman avantaj de\u011fil, zafiyet do\u011furdu\u011fu unutulmu\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u00c7ift forvet\u201d s\u00f6ylemiyle kamuoyuna sunulan stratejide ise sahadaki ger\u00e7eklik farkl\u0131d\u0131r. Forvetlerden biri hukuki ve siyasi s\u00fcre\u00e7lerle etkisiz h\u00e2le getirilmi\u015fken, di\u011ferinin neden aktif bi\u00e7imde devreye al\u0131nmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 izaha muhta\u00e7t\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu noktada kritik bir soru beliriyor:<br \/>\nT\u00fcm bu hamlelerin amac\u0131 ger\u00e7ekten bir aday \u00e7\u0131karmak ve kazanmak m\u0131, yoksa mevcut iktidar\u0131n yeniden adayl\u0131k zeminini dolayl\u0131 olarak g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 mi in\u015fa ediliyor?<\/p>\n<p>Sahadaki tablo, bu sorunun sorulmas\u0131n\u0131 zorunlu k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Zira muhalefetin kendi i\u00e7inde k\u00fcsk\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcretirken, rakip blokun ittifak zeminini geni\u015fletmesi; olas\u0131 bir cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7iminde dengeyi belirleyen temel fakt\u00f6rlerden biridir. Meclis \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fundan ziyade y\u00fcr\u00fctme g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn belirleyici oldu\u011fu bir sistemde, stratejik \u00f6nceli\u011fin nerede olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Parti i\u00e7inde ve kamuoyunda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u201ckazanma inanc\u0131\u201dn\u0131n olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 da g\u00f6zle g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr bir ger\u00e7ektir. Bu durum y\u00fcksek sesle ifade edilmese de, s\u00fcrecin sonunda yeni bir kurultay ihtimalinin konu\u015fulmas\u0131 bile ba\u015fl\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131na bir g\u00f6stergedir.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan, uluslararas\u0131 geli\u015fmelerin yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00f6zellikle b\u00f6lgesel krizlerin i\u00e7 siyasete do\u011frudan etki etti\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde \u201cSine-i Millet\u201d gibi sert \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131n zamanlamas\u0131 da ayr\u0131ca tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. D\u00fcn psikolojik \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck eldeyken dillendirilmeyen bu s\u00f6ylemin bug\u00fcn aceleyle g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131, stratejik tutarl\u0131l\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ciddi bir \u00e7eli\u015fki bar\u0131nd\u0131rmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Daha da dikkat \u00e7ekici olan ise ger\u00e7eklikten kopuk hedeflerdir. Y\u00fczde 60 gibi siyasetin do\u011fas\u0131na ayk\u0131r\u0131 oranlar\u0131n telaffuz edilmesi, rasyonel analizden ziyade temenni siyasetine i\u015faret etmektedir. Mevcut medya ve iktidar imk\u00e2nlar\u0131na ra\u011fmen bu oranlara ula\u015famayan bir yap\u0131 ortadayken, muhalefetin bu hedefi nas\u0131l ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirece\u011fi sorusu cevaps\u0131zd\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bu geli\u015fmeler, birbirinden kopuk hatalar zinciri olmaktan ziyade, tek merkezli bir kurgunun par\u00e7alar\u0131 izlenimi vermektedir.<\/p>\n<p>The systematic sidelining of some of the names that have a resonance in the field and the circulation of new and weaker alternatives naturally leads to discussions on \u201cclearing the way\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Oysa unutulmamal\u0131d\u0131r:<br \/>\nSiyasette diken diye temizlenen \u015fey bazen g\u00fcld\u00fcr.<\/p>\n<p>Ve e\u011fer o g\u00fcller birer birer s\u00fcp\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcrse, geriye g\u00f6lgesinden ba\u015fka bir \u015fey kalmayan bir \u00e7\u0131nar manzaras\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Atalar bo\u015funa s\u00f6ylememi\u015f:<br \/>\n\u201cAllah yolunu yolsuza d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesin.\u201d<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The systematic sidelining of some of the names that have a resonance in the field and the circulation of new and weaker alternatives naturally leads to discussions on \u201cclearing the way\u201d.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":284719,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[286],"tags":[289],"class_list":{"0":"post-284718","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-yazarlar","8":"tag-manset"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284718","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=284718"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284718\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":284720,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284718\/revisions\/284720"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/284719"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=284718"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=284718"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=284718"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}