In the Presidential System of Government, it is not the \u201cfirst party\u201d that is decisive, but the will that finds 50+1; the perception built by the polls is doomed to dissipate at the ballot box.<\/p>\n
With the transition to the Presidential Government System, the nature of politics in Turkey has radically changed. Any analysis without reading this change correctly is doomed to be incomplete.
\nThe fear of being below the threshold in the old system has been eliminated with the Alliance system and the stream has somehow found a channel. With this motive, the groups that were called dissimilar and impossible to get along with can walk arm in arm.<\/p>\n
Art\u0131k mesele yaln\u0131zca \u201changi parti birinci oldu?\u201d sorusu de\u011fildir. Hatta daha ileri gidelim: Bir partinin se\u00e7imde en fazla oyu almas\u0131n\u0131n, hatta T\u00fcrkiye B\u00fcy\u00fck Millet Meclisi\u2019nde salt \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu elde etmesinin bile tek ba\u015f\u0131na belirleyici bir anlam\u0131 kalmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc sistemin kilidi Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imidir ve o kilidin anahtar\u0131 da nettir: %50+1.<\/p>\n
While this fact is obvious, it is a serious mental illusion that the public opinion is still confined to the \u201cfirst party\u201d debates. It is also noteworthy that some polling companies are consciously feeding this illusion. It is not a coincidence that the same surveys do not present a holistic picture of the presidential election while insistently emphasizing the first place of a certain party.<\/p>\n
This situation puts society in front of a \u201cmagic mirror\u201d. Those who look in the mirror see themselves as bigger than they are and want to believe in this image. However, politics is shaped according to arithmetic, not desire.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn muhalefetin elindeki en somut veri, ge\u00e7mi\u015f Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7iminde al\u0131nan yakla\u015f\u0131k %48\u2019lik oydur. Bu oran k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcmsenebilir mi? Elbette hay\u0131r. Aksine, do\u011fru okundu\u011funda ciddi bir potansiyeli i\u015faret eder. Ancak ayn\u0131 kesimlerin, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oranl\u0131 g\u00fcncel ba\u015far\u0131lar\u0131 abart\u0131rken, bu %48\u2019i de\u011fersizle\u015ftirmesi ciddi bir \u00e7eli\u015fkidir.<\/p>\n
Daha \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 olan ise \u015fudur: %50+1\u2019i bulabilmek i\u00e7in ortada yakla\u015f\u0131k 12 puanl\u0131k bir a\u00e7\u0131k bulunmaktad\u0131r. Bu da milyonlarca yeni se\u00e7menin ikna edilmesi anlam\u0131na gelir. Peki bu oy nereden gelecektir? Hangi se\u00e7men kitlesi, hangi s\u00f6ylemle kazan\u0131lacakt\u0131r? Bu sorular\u0131n ikna edici cevaplar\u0131 hen\u00fcz ortada yoktur.<\/p>\n
Moreover, politics is not only mathematics but also sociology. Alliances, grassroots reflexes, candidate preferences and political language directly affect voter behavior. Today, whether voters from different parties will gravitate towards the same candidate is not as simple as it is assumed. Especially the candidate debates and intra- and inter-party tensions make this process even more complicated.<\/p>\n
Nevertheless, optimism is being pumped up as if these difficulties do not exist. This is where the \u201cmagic mirror\u201d comes in. A mirror that distorts reality, renders shortcomings invisible and encourages expectations to be mistaken for reality...<\/p>\n
But the chest breaks this mirror every time.<\/p>\n
When election night comes, results speak, not perceptions. And the famous phrase echoes: \u201cThere is someone better than you.\u201d<\/p>\n
Politics is not the art of self-deception. On the contrary, it is the courage to face reality. A skyscraper cannot rise from crooked iron, and if it does, it will collapse at the first tremor. For a solid structure, we need the right ground, the right calculation and the right accounting.<\/p>\n
It must be remembered that no matter how long the night, the morning will surely dawn. Truth may be delayed, but it is not lost.<\/p>\n
The short day does not darken.
\nIn short, it will not last until the Day of Judgment.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Politics is not the art of self-deception. On the contrary, it is the courage to face the truth.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":284054,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[286],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-284053","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-yazarlar"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284053","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=284053"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284053\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":284055,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284053\/revisions\/284055"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/284054"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=284053"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=284053"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=284053"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}