{"id":282568,"date":"2026-02-10T23:37:01","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T23:37:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/?p=282568"},"modified":"2026-02-11T06:35:00","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T06:35:00","slug":"saros-research-poll-chp-second-party-again-after-two-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/saros-research-poll-chp-second-party-again-after-two-years\/","title":{"rendered":"Saros Research Survey: CHP back to second party after two years"},"content":{"rendered":"

HALKWEB \u00d6ZEL-<\/strong> Saros Ara\u015ft\u0131rma’n\u0131n Ocak ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde 7912 ki\u015fiyle yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ankete, CHP 2024’ten bu yana ilk kez yeniden ikinci parti konumuna geriledi. “Bu pazar se\u00e7im olsa oyunuzu hangi partiye verirsiniz” sorusuna %30.9 AK Parti, %30.5 oran\u0131nda ise CHP yan\u0131t\u0131 verildi. 2024 yerel se\u00e7imlerinde %35.48 oy alan AK Parti bu oran\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %4.5 gerisinde bir deste\u011fe sahipken, yerel se\u00e7imlerde %37.76 oy alarak birinci parti olan CHP ise %7.26’l\u0131k oy kayb\u0131 ile ikinci s\u0131raya gerilemi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Kabine de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi beklentisi y\u00fcksekti<\/h3>\n

\u0130\u00e7i\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Ali Yerlikaya ile Adalet Bakan\u0131 Y\u0131lmaz Tun\u00e7’un g\u00f6revden al\u0131nmas\u0131ndan \u00f6nce yap\u0131lan ankette “Kabine de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi yap\u0131lmal\u0131 m\u0131?” sorusuna %78.8 oran\u0131nda “Evet” yan\u0131t\u0131 geldi. ‘Hay\u0131r’ diyenler ise sadece %7.2 oran\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

‘En ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z bakan’ Y\u0131lmaz Tun\u00e7 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131<\/h3>\n

Ankete kat\u0131lanlara ‘en ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131’ bulduklar\u0131 bakanlar da soruldu.<\/p>\n

D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Hakan Fidan %11,4’le ilk s\u0131rada, \u00c7evre ve \u015eehircilik Bakan\u0131 Murat Kurum %10.9’la ikinci s\u0131rada yer al\u0131rken g\u00f6revden al\u0131nan Ali Yerlikaya ise %3.3’le listenin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131ras\u0131nda yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Yine son kararname ile g\u00f6revden al\u0131nan Adalet Bakan\u0131 Y\u0131lmaz Tun\u00e7 ise y\u00fczdelik dilime girecek bir deste\u011fe sahip olmayarak listenin son s\u0131ras\u0131nda yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Adalet Sorunu oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler ezici \u00e7o\u011funlukta<\/h3>\n

\u00d6te yandan ‘T\u00fcrkiye’de adalet sorunu oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor musunuz?’ sorusuna verilen yan\u0131tlar da Adalet Bakan\u0131 Y\u0131lmaz Tun\u00e7’un listenin son s\u0131ras\u0131nda yer almas\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frular nitelikte \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n %84.3 gibi ezici bir \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu \u00fclkede adalet sorunu oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtirken, bu soruya ‘Hay\u0131r’ yan\u0131t\u0131 verenler ise sadece %6.7’de kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Muhalefetin Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Aday\u0131 Kim Olmal\u0131?<\/h3>\n

Saros Ara\u015ft\u0131rma anketinde ayr\u0131ca muhalefetin cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 aday\u0131n\u0131n kim olmas\u0131 ggerekti\u011fi de soruldu.<\/p>\n

Ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n %32.8’i Mansur Yava\u015f derken, Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu diyenler %10.5’te kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Selahattin Demirta\u015f %7.9’la \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcns\u00fc s\u0131rada yer al\u0131rken CHP Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u00d6zg\u00fcr \u00d6zel ise %5.9 destekle d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan Yava\u015f’\u0131n muhalefetin cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 aday\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler aras\u0131nda AK Parti se\u00e7menlerinin %17.2 ve HP se\u00e7menlerinin %67.9’luk deste\u011fi dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

‘Ter\u00f6rs\u00fcz T\u00fcrkiye’ S\u00fcrecinin Y\u00f6ntemi Do\u011fru Bulunmuyor<\/h3>\n

“Mill\u00ee Dayan\u0131\u015fma, Karde\u015flik ve Demokrasi Komisyonunun ter\u00f6rs\u00fcz T\u00fcrkiye s\u00fcrecini do\u011fru y\u00f6netti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor musunuz?” sorusuna ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n %68.2’si ‘Hay\u0131r’ yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 verirken do\u011fru y\u00f6netildi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenlerin oran\u0131 ise sadece %8.2’de kald\u0131. K\u0131smen do\u011fru bulanlar\u0131n oran\u0131 ise %19.0 oldu.<\/p>\n

MHP se\u00e7meninin %83.6’s\u0131n\u0131n komisyonun s\u00fcreci do\u011fru y\u00f6netmedi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmesi ise dikkat \u00e7eken bir veri olarak anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na yans\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Erken Se\u00e7im Beklentisi \u00c7ok Y\u00fcksek<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrkiye’de 2028’den \u00f6nce bir erken se\u00e7im yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen se\u00e7menler\u00a0 ankette %81.1 gibi y\u00fcksek bir orana sahip. AK Parti se\u00e7menlerinin de %67.7 gibi ezici bir \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu erken se\u00e7imi gerekli g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtirken CHP se\u00e7meninde bu oran %90.7’yi MHP se\u00e7menleri aras\u0131nda ise %84.5’i buluyor.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Sorunlar\u0131 Kim \u00c7\u00f6zer?<\/h3>\n

Ekonomik kriz ve ge\u00e7im s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 Saros Anketine de damgas\u0131n\u0131 vurdu. Ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n %42’si ‘Ekonomi\/Yoksulluk ve Ge\u00e7im S\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131’n\u0131 \u00fclkenin en \u00f6nemli sorunu olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcrken ‘Adalet ve Hukuk’ sorunu ise \u00bd25.8 ile ikinci s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131\u00e7<\/p>\n

Anketin en can al\u0131c\u0131 sorusu ise “Sizce T\u00fcrkiye’nin en \u00f6nemli sorununu hangi parti \u00e7\u00f6zebilir” sorusu oldu. Soruya yan\u0131t verenlerin %55.5’i ‘Hi\u00e7biri’ derken, AK Parti diyenler %17.7,CHP diyenler ise %8.2de kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Parlamenter Sisteme \u00d6zlem<\/h3>\n

2017 Anayasa de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ile ge\u00e7ilen Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 H\u00fck\u00fcmet Sisteminin halk aras\u0131nda benimsenmedi\u011fi anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na da yans\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

‘Sizce T\u00fcrkiye’nin h\u00fck\u00fcmet sistemi nas\u0131l olmal\u0131d\u0131r’ sorusuna ‘Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 H\u00fck\u00fcmet Sistemi’ yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 verenler sadece %25.4’te kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131l\u0131 Masa’n\u0131n \u00f6nerisi olan ‘G\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmi\u015f Parlamenter Sisteme d\u00f6n\u00fclmeli’ didyenler %58.1’lik bir orana sahipken, ‘Eski Parlamenter Sisteme d\u00f6n\u00fclmeli’ diyenler ise %14.<\/p>\n

Bu durumda toplamda %72.1 gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kesim Parlamenter Sisteme d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn daha do\u011fru oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Anketten \u00e7\u0131kan di\u011fer sonu\u00e7lar ise \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n K\u00fcnyesi<\/h3>\n

\u201cSaros T\u00fcrkiye G\u00fcndemi ve Siyaset Ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 \/ Ocak2026\u201d ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye genelinde NUTS2 sistemine g\u00f6re 26 b\u00f6lgeyi esas alan 30 b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehirde tabakal\u0131 \u00f6rnekleme ve a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kland\u0131rma y\u00f6ntemi ile 15 – 22 Ocak 2026 tarihleri aras\u0131nda toplam 7912 ki\u015fi ile CATI (Bilgisayar Destekli Telefonda Anket) ve anket linki payla\u015f\u0131larak yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ara\u015ft\u0131rma 0,95 g\u00fcven s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde +\/- 1,27 hata pay\u0131 ile ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

“Bu pazar se\u00e7im olsa oyunuzu hangi partiye verirsiniz” sorusuna se\u00e7men nas\u0131l yan\u0131t verdi?<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":282584,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[285],"tags":[15,289],"class_list":{"0":"post-282568","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-politika","8":"tag-chp","9":"tag-manset"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/282568","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=282568"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/282568\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":282589,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/282568\/revisions\/282589"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/282584"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=282568"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=282568"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/halkweb.com.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=282568"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}